Friday, May 4, 2012

Mayweather-Cotto: Keys to the Fight

The first mega-fight of 2012 arrives this weekend, with multi-divisional champions Floyd Mayweather and Miguel Cotto squaring off in Las Vegas. Read below for my keys to the fight. My official prediction will be at the end of the article.

1. Can Cotto land enough?
To me, this is the most fundamental question of the fight. No one denies that Cotto has real power; he may be the most powerful fighter that Mayweather has faced to date. However, what will Cotto land? His jab can get lazy and it is a punch that can be countered. His straight right hand can be sharp but someone with Mayweather's defensive skills can elude it or stymie its effectiveness.

Essentially, the key punch of the fight for Cotto – the one that could keep Mayweather honest – is his left hook to the body. To land that, Cotto will have to close the distance and eat some of Mayweather's pinpoint counter shots. Cotto must not let Mayweather's incoming volleys dissuade him from coming forward. Cotto has to apply pressure and connect with his left hook; it's his best shot to win. Without consistently landing that punch, which can be absolutely devastating, I don't see how Cotto stays competitive. In addition, Cotto, who has featured his left hook only intermittently in past fights, must throw it with regularity.  

2. When will Mayweather get started?
In past fights against active punchers such as Oscar de la Hoya and Zab Judah, Mayweather has started slowly. He took a few rounds to figure out openings against these opponents. More recently, especially in the Shane Mosley and Victor Ortiz bouts, Mayweather pressed the action early in the fight, establishing his straight right hands. (He is also older and doesn't move around the ring as much as he did earlier in his career.) Against Cotto, a fighter whose power he respects, Mayweather will most likely start the bout cautiously. If he makes that decision, will it come back to haunt him?

3. Can Cotto hurt Mayweather?
Although Mayweather is a defensive marvel, he can be hit. Having taken big shots from DeMarcus Corley, Mosley and Judah, Mayweather has shown that he has a good chin. However, those instances forced Mayweather to shift his attention to defense.

Cotto, who does pack quite a bit of thunder, needs to land something big on Mayweather, preferably early. Mayweather has demonstrated that he can recover from big shots, but his instincts are not necessarily to fight his way out of danger. More likely, he'll hold and delay until his legs return. Cotto must seize these opportunities to inflict the maximum amount of damage, putting rounds in the bank and giving himself the opportunity to swing the fight in his favor.

4. Will Cotto's skin hold up?
Cotto has been prone to cuts, especially in past fights against Antonio Margarito and Manny Pacquiao. Although he was cut-free in the rematch against Margarito, Cotto's skin will face a stern test this weekend. The combination of Mayweather's sublime punch placement and his deployment of elbows and forearms could open up cuts on Cotto. Cotto's cutman could play a central role in the fight. With Mayweather's intelligence, if he sees a cut, he'll go after it all fight. Because of his propensity to cut, Cotto must work hard in ever frame. He has to win the 50/50 rounds.

5. Will Mayweather go for the jugular?
Mayweather could have a much greater knockout percentage than he currently does. He has carried fighters in the past, from Mosley to Juan Manuel Marquez. With a style predicated on risk minimization, Mayweather gets his knockouts from perfect punch placement in opportune moments (think Ricky Hatton or Victor Ortiz). Mayweather has talked in the buildup to this fight about going for the knockout. Of course, he says a lot of things – some are more believable than others. If Mayweather has Cotto hurt, will he go for the stoppage or just box his way to a decision victory?

Prediction:
Cotto starts out active, looking to establish his jab and his straight right hand. Mayweather remains in the center of the ring, studying Cotto, looking for opportunities. Mayweather finds early success with the counter straight right hand.

As the fight progresses, it becomes obvious that Cotto won't be able to win the bout from the outside; he starts to take more chances. He tries to attack Mayweather more and attempts to back him up to the ropes. At close range, Mayweather features his counter left hook and uppercuts in addition to his straight right hand. He's able to counter quickly and sharply, pot-shotting and eluding most of Cotto's pressure.

Eventually, Mayweather's accuracy gets the better of Cotto, who starts to wear down. By the later rounds of the fight, Cotto's energy level flags as Mayweather further establishes dominance. Despite opportunities to go for the knockout, Mayweather doesn't step on the gas and Cotto makes it to the final bell.

Floyd Mayweather wins by wide unanimous decision – let’s call it 118-110, or 10 rounds to 2.

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Tuesday, May 1, 2012

SNB Rankings Update

April featured a lot of movement in the SNB Rankings. An old legend departs and a young cruiserweight debuts. With a string of solid victories, one lightweight rises, while another one exits because of a poor showing in a win. Also, a light heavyweight returns to his former perch atop the division.

Elevated: Chad Dawson Dawson was caught in the SNB Rankings purgatory. The former light heavyweight champion certainly had tons of talent but his loss to Jean Pascal showed that he was not yet an elite boxer; after that defeat, he had to work his way back to the top of the division. With wins over Adrian Diaconu and now Bernard Hopkins, Dawson has accomplished this feat. He enters the Rankings in the Fighters on the Cusp list. With a victory over another light heavyweight titleholder or an exceptional talent such as Andre Ward, Dawson will gain elite status.

Elevated: Ricky Burns After suffering two losses early in his career, Burns worked hard on his craft and eventually won a junior lightweight title in a great fight over Roman Martinez. After three defenses, he went up to lightweight and decisioned Michael Katsidis for a vacant title belt. In his last fight, he cruised to an easier-than-expected victory over Paulus Moses. He continues to improve. Burns moves up to the 10 Boxers on the Rise list.

Elevated: Yoan Pablo Hernandez Hernandez won a cruiserweight title by defeating Steve Cunningham via a technical decision in October. It was a questionable stoppage caused by cuts and a rematch was ordered. Hernandez then decisioned Cunningham in a close fight in February to cement his status as one of the top cruiserweights in boxing. A Cuban exile fighting out of Germany, Hernandez debuts on the Bubbling Under list.

Demoted: Bernard Hopkins Obviously, Hopkins has had a Hall of Fame career. However, at 47, his defeat to Chad Dawson illustrated that he no longer fights at an elite level. Although he wasn't embarrassed in the loss, he couldn't move his hands enough or sustain consistent offense against the younger fighter. Hopkins departs the SNB Elite Fighters list.

Demoted: Brandon Rios Failing to make weight has been a consistent theme for Rios, who lost his lightweight title on the scales prior to his fight against John Murray. Facing Richard Abril (a late replacement for Yuriorkis Gamboa), Rios wasn't close to making the lightweight limit and turned in a lifeless performance. That he was awarded a controversial victory should not discount that his career momentum has stalled. Rios exits the 10 Boxers on the Rise list.

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Monday, April 30, 2012

Opinions and Observations: Hopkins-Dawson II

From an aesthetic standpoint, Hopkins-Dawson II lived down to expectations. There was wrestling, clinching, grappling, butting, holding and occasionally there were faint remembrances of honest-to-god boxing. However, don't let the ugliness of the proceedings discredit Dawson's victory. If it were up to Dawson, he would have glided around the ring, thrown some slick combinations and remained out of harm's way. But he was facing an old warrior who was determined to win at any cost.

Dawson's greatest strength on Saturday was his ability to keep his composure. That may sound like faint praise, but honestly, Dawson comported himself with such discipline that he was able to stick to his game plan and persevere past the circus inside of the ring. Incessantly, Hopkins butted Dawson. In the rare moments where Hopkins decided to engage in exchanges, he led with his head at almost a 90-degree angle. Evander Holyfield had nothing on Hopkins in this fight. Hopkins also provided his patented low blows on the hip during clinches. He placed Dawson in headlocks, he embellished perceived Dawson fouls and he threw Dawson to the ground. Hopkins tried everything except straight boxing – because he couldn’t win the fight that way.

Yet Dawson was prepared for this type of battle. When Hopkins lunged forward with his head down, Dawson, wisely, was more concerned with the incoming right hand than Hopkins' pate. During clinches, Dawson held his ground and remained focused; he didn't let Hopkins' fouling get the better of him. When Hopkins practically launched himself through the ropes to curry favor with the ref, Dawson gave him a dismissive smile. Dawson didn't yield in the battle of physicality in the ring, but he was more concerned with winning the war, by that I mean the fight at hand. His focus sealed the victory.

Fighters greater than Dawson have fallen victim to Hopkins' traps and gamesmanship. However, in this second fight, Dawson didn't let his anger and disgust distract him from his task at hand. In their first bout, Dawson was clearly perturbed by Hopkins' pressing down on his neck during clinches (Hopkins repeated this maneuver in the second fight). Dawson's frustration got the best of him in that abbreviated match when he threw Hopkins to the canvas. Sure, he sent a message, but he didn't get to keep the belt.

More specifically, Dawson's lack of focus and composure had been a problem throughout his career. He was cruising to an easy victory against Tomasz Adamek before being dropped. Glen Johnson's right hands bothered him so much in their first fight that he disengaged (and ran) in the final rounds to avoid further damage. He failed to grasp his perilous status in the Jean Pascal bout until late in the fight. His lack of urgency led to his loss.

None of those issues manifested on Saturday. Credit must be given to Dawson's trainer, John Scully, for Dawson's performance. A carousel of trainers has worked with Dawson over the fighter's career and yet it seems that Scully has finally been able to connect with Dawson in a psychological or emotional way. Dawson's skills have never been in question; more often, it's been his focus or his heart. On Saturday, Dawson graduated from a young fighter with talent to a seasoned pro. He was fully prepared, confident throughout the match and executed his game plan.

Was he perfect in the fight? No. When Dawson let his hands go, he couldn't be stopped. In exchanges, Hopkins lacked the firepower to match him. Dawson still exerted too much caution and failed to be as aggressive as he could be. However, he won the fight and he won it convincingly. I scored the fight 117-111, the same score as the two judges who had Dawson winning the match.

With the exception of one notable uppercut, Dawson relied on three punches: jab, straight left hand and right hook to the body. He kept his punches short, fast and didn't overcommit looking for knockout punches. Irrespective of his proclamations that he would stop Hopkins, Dawson fought Hopkins the right way by scoring singles and doubles, which limited Hopkins' countering opportunities. Dawson's footwork was also impeccable throughout the night. He made Hopkins miss throughout the match and avoided most of his right hands.

As for Hopkins, he was simply outgunned. He tried to throw one punch and then hold and hit until the referee broke them apart. He was able to land a few of his lead right hands, but because of his advancing age and declining power – as well as Dawson's chin – they weren't big enough shots to change the tenor of the fight. He also fought Dawson virtually one-handed. His jab was non-existent; he fainted with it at times to try and land the right hand. I don't recall one left hook connecting. His only left hands that caused damage were the illegal ones that he used to hit Dawson on the hip and thighs during clinches.

Referee Eddie Cotton did a tremendous job during the fight. He knew exactly what to expect and broke the clinches up as fast as possible. He warned both fighters, but more often Hopkins, about illegal tactics. Cotton realized that Hopkins was going to try any method to win the fight and acted accordingly. I wouldn't have argued if he took a point from Hopkins for head butting, but he had a thankless role.

In the hands of a lesser ref, the fight could have devolved into a disqualification or an even nastier affair. Cotton was attentive throughout the match and tried to limit the nonsense to the best of his ability. He knew what he was in for but he didn't let Hopkins' antics force him to become the story of the fight. In the hands of a laissez-faire referee like Steve Smoger (who is an excellent choice for most fights), there may not have been more than a handful of landed punches in the whole match. With more officious types like Jay Nady, or Vic Drakulich, Hopkins would have been disqualified, which would have been unsatisfying on numerous levels. Cotton played the hand he was dealt and performed admirably.
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What to say about Bernard Hopkins? On a personal level, I have followed his career more closely than that of any other fighter. He's one of the reasons that I love boxing as much as I do. His fights have taught me so much about strategy, footwork, counterpunching and punch placement. His personal story was an impressive saga and will remain in boxing folklore for generations. Until the recent emergence of a new wave of Philadelphia fighters, Hopkins singlehandedly carried the city's proud boxing tradition on his back. He was a model for preparation, conditioning and learning the craft.

Handed nothing, he made the boxing powers come to him. Without being a knockout artist or an aesthetically pleasing fighter to watch, he earned millions and remained relevant in the top echelons of boxing for almost two decades. Hopkins defied predictions and his epic victories over Trinidad, Tarver and Pavlik were forceful reminders that conventional wisdom can be flawed. Too many observers and media outlets succumbed to the folly of underestimating an athlete in supreme condition with an unbreakable will. His streak of 20 middleweight defenses will not be surpassed for a long time. (It's quite the accomplishment, but so few modern boxers even fight enough to have 20 title fights, let alone victories.)

Was he perfect inside or outside of the ring? No. He applied boxing's "dark arts" more than he should have or needed to. He over-relied upon gamesmanship, which hurt him. He used the fouling, butting, and antics as crutches. Did they help him during key moments? I'm sure they did, but they also turned off many boxing fans and members of the media. In short, he was a better fighter than that. His performances against Pavlik and Tarver were clean displays of expert boxing. He could be that good.

Outside of the ring, he created enemies. Needing bogeymen to fuel his motivation, he took on rival fighters, promoters, network executives, judges, referees, writers, lawyers – you name it. These grievances, real or imagined, helped provide Hopkins with his edge. And while he probably viewed many of these feuds as a means to an end, he paid the price with his reputation. His actions were not just mere gamesmanship; they included slanderous assertions, racial, sexual and ethnic epithets and bilious rhetoric.

Hopkins always yearned for respect, recognition and love, but he wanted it both ways. He was not beneath holding petty grudges for years, intimidating the media and hurling vicious insults. However, he would then be surprised when he wasn't treated more warmly. He never realized that his words had real repercussions beyond his needs. Hopkins was a tough guy to root for. Practically everyone in the fight game respected him, although that was never enough to settle Hopkins. He dismantled Oscar de la Hoya in the ring, but he could never approach de la Hoya's status in boxing. Even though he will be remembered as a far better fighter than the Golden Boy, I bet his perceived lack of affection from the boxing public still eats away at him.
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Seth Mitchell scored a stirring third-round TKO over Chazz Witherspoon and further solidified his status as a promising American heavyweight. His performance was not without flaws. Witherspoon tattooed him with right hands in the first round. Mitchell seemed unable to defend himself against those shots. However, he survived Witherspoon's initial flurries and imposed his will in the second and third rounds. Like a pro, Mitchell dug to Witherspoon's soft body in the second round with punishing left hooks. He later went upstairs and finished the fight with straight right hands. Perhaps most importantly, the fight demonstrated that he had the chin to survive big shots, a paramount qualification for any heavyweight prospect.

For Golden Boy Promotions, Saturday's Mitchell-Witherspoon fight was perfect matchmaking. Mitchell survived and thrived against a puncher and looked spectacular in doing so. I'm sure that the Golden Boy honchos observed that Mitchell must refine his defensive techniques and learn to hold on when hurt. Nevertheless, they have a true heavyweight player under their banner.

Mitchell needs two more developmental fights and then I believe he's ready for any non-Klitschko in the heavyweight division. For a boxer who came late to sport, he's demonstrated very solid fight instincts and I think he has tremendous aptitude for improvement. He may never be able to defeat a Klitschko, but let's not spoil a good story at this early date.

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Friday, April 27, 2012

Hopkins-Dawson II: Keys to the Fight

After the first Bernard Hopkins-Chad Dawson fight ended unceremoniously with Dawson body slamming Hopkins into the ground in the second round, some bad blood has built up between the two fighters. Dawson and his assorted team members have claimed that Hopkins quit and exaggerated his shoulder injury (of course that begs the question of why Hopkins would agree to another bout against Dawson if he really wanted to get out of their first fight). Both boxers have assumed uncharacteristic positions in the buildup to the fight. Dawson, usually taciturn, has taken the offensive, predicting a knockout. Hopkins, who has never shied away from a microphone, has remained virtually silent throughout the promotion. 

Hopkins is in a familiar place in his career: he's the underdog and practically every member of the boxing media is picking against him. In similar situations in the past, such as fights against Felix Trinidad, Antonio Tarver and Kelly Pavlik, Hopkins thrived, but at 47, does he have one more rousing performance left? Hopkins always has used negativity for motivation while Dawson knows that this is his chance to cement himself as the top light heavyweight in the world. Read below for the keys to the fight. My prediction will be at the end of the article.

1. Keep those hands moving.
If Dawson can throw 50+ punches per round, he will win the fight. That sounds like a rather simplistic perception of the bout, but that number tells us a lot. In the first fight, Hopkins was successful in reducing Dawson's punch output; it was a Hopkins pace. However, if Dawson is active, that means he is confident. It also demonstrates that he isn't paying too much respect to Hopkins' countering ability. These are good things for Dawson.

Conversely, if Dawson's output is low, that would indicate that he's thinking too much in the ring and that he's tentative. That's a type of fight that Hopkins can win. On paper, Dawson has all of the athletic and physical advantages. Unfortunately, physique and agility don't necessarily win fights.

For Hopkins, he cannot expect to win a decision throwing fewer than 30 punches a round. Even though his connects are often more impressive than his opponents, boxing judges do not reward inactivity. When Hopkins has run into trouble on the scorecards (Jermain Taylor, Joe Calzaghe), he was significantly outworked in terms of punch volume. Hopkins must throw enough to let judges give him rounds. If he spends too much time worrying about defense, he'll come up short.

2. Will Dawson fight with urgency?
Dawson has a bad habit of going on cruise control. Whether taking off a round, getting 30-second rests within rounds or failing to step on the gas, Dawson sometimes seems content to eke out rounds and not press the action. He rarely goes for the jugular. Although he has an excellent record (30-1), this strategy has backfired on occasion. He was cruising along in his first fight against Glen Johnson until he got hit with some enormous right hands. He was winning every round against Tomasz Adamek until he got knocked down late in the fight. He didn't turn on the jets against Pascal until it was too late. If Dawson hurts Hopkins, he must press forward and seize his opportunities. These are risks he has to take and he can't afford to lose focus.    

It's imperative for Dawson to win each round and win them decisively. The longer he lets Hopkins stick around in the fight, the more that could go wrong. This is Dawson's biggest test. Does he have the psychological fortitude to dominate a fighter who might be there for the taking? Will he even attempt to find out? Hopkins will have his moments; it's up to Dawson to minimize them. 

3. Can Hopkins make a dent in the early rounds?
Hopkins has often given away rounds early in fights. He uses this time to size up his opponents, lay traps and figure out openings for later rounds. However, at 47, it's unrealistic to expect him to score a shutout in the second half of the fight. He must win at least two of the first six rounds of the fight to have a shot at the decision. Remember, in Hopkins' last full fight against Jean Pascal, it was Pascal who was the fresher fighter down the stretch. Hopkins must not fall behind too much in the early rounds of the fight.

4. Will Dawson fight his fight?
Even though Dawson had success in their first bout with a few left hands, he fought at Hopkins' tempo. Dawson needs to fight in his style: move in and out, throw quick combinations and look for opportune moments to cause damage. If Dawson gets into a battle of perfect punch placement, he runs the risk of losing the war. He must stay fluid and fight within himself. A staring contest would be the wrong fight for him.

5. What else can Hopkins pull out of his bag of tricks?
Dawson, his trainer John Scully and just about everyone in boxing knows that Hopkins is looking to land his lead or counter right hand. In truth, Hopkins is going to need something in addition to those punches to win. He had some success in the first Pascal fight with his jab. He still features a short left hook on occasion. Ultimately, Hopkins won't be able to feint his way to a victory; he's going to have to land.

6. What will be the referee and judges’ influence on the outcome of the fight?

This fight features top boxing officials. Eddie Cotton (New Jersey) is the referee, and he's excellent. He likes to stay out of the way when he can. However, he won't let the fight devolve into a hugfest. He'll break them up and make sure the amount of clinching does not go overboard.

Three excellent judges were selected for the fight: Dick Flaherty (Massachusetts, although works a lot in Connecticut), Luis Rivera (New York, but judges often in New Jersey) and Steve Weisfeld (New Jersey). All three are experienced in world title fights and do not have strong biases like a Julie Lederman (who reflexively favors the aggressive fighter). That doesn't mean they will turn in perfect cards, but they are competent and neutral arbiters.

Prediction:
This may be an ugly, ugly fight. Hopkins will look to reduce the activity level in the fight and it will be up to Dawson to force the action. Many of the rounds will most likely feature few solid connected punches and it will be a difficult fight to score. Dawson will get out to an early lead because of his higher volume of punches and superior ring generalship. Hopkins will pick spots later in the fight to land his punches and let his hands go. Will Hopkins do enough to earn the victory or will his late-round rally fall just short of getting the decision?

Ultimately, I believe that Dawson's advantages in activity and landed punches, irrespective of whether they are that powerful or damaging, will be enough to carry the day, but I bet one of the judges will be relatively kind to Hopkins' effort.

Chad Dawson wins by majority decision.

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Monday, April 23, 2012

Opinions and Observations: Mares and Moreno

Abner Mares and Anselmo Moreno cruised this weekend to one-sided victories over Eric Morel and David De La Mora, respectively. These wins were lopsided because both victors fought to the best of their abilities. Their opponents were credible guys – De La Mora lost a close championship fight in 2011 to house fighter Koki Kameda and Morel was a former titleholder and U.S. Olympian (granted in a smaller weight class) who came into the fight with a long winning streak.

Neither Mares nor Moreno fell into the traps that have become all too common in modern boxing. They didn't look past their opponents and came into their fights in great condition. Mares and Moreno weren't taking their premium U.S. cable slots lightly; they had reputations to build. These were two hungry boxers looking to impress upon the fight community that they were ready for bigger things.

Moreno, as he did last year against Vic Darchinyan, toyed with De La Mora. He demonstrated his pristine defensive skills and elusiveness. However, Moreno didn't run; he stayed in the pocket and was ready to fight.

He also showed a more offensive mindset this weekend. Instead of looking just to counterpunch, Moreno took the lead several times throughout the fight. In the first round, he established his dominance with his right hook. In a masterful display, the southpaw threw a sharp right hook and quickly stepped to his right, in effect turning De La Mora with just one punch. Moreno wisely observed that his opponent couldn't respond to lateral movement.

Moreno also exhibited more power than he had in his previous fights. He knocked down De La Mora with a blistering right hook in the second round and dropped him with a punishing straight left hand body shot in the sixth. He wasn't content just to touch his opponent and win rounds; he was trying to cause damage. 

Throughout the fight, Moreno's punch variety and movements made De La Mora uncomfortable.  De La Mora didn't know how to defend himself against Moreno's creativity and fluid movements. Moreno's expert punch placement compounded De La Mora's difficulties in the fight.  At various points, De La Mora literally ran around the ring to avoid engaging with Moreno.

In addition, Moreno highlighted his first-class footwork. He made De La Mora miss with pivots and upper body movement, but he never let himself get out of range for counterpunching opportunities.

De La Mora failed to come out for the start of the ninth round, giving Moreno an unexpected stoppage. It was an important performance for Moreno. He showed that he could be offensive-minded and aggressive. Often labeled as a "cutie," or a slick boxer who didn't like to engage, Moreno wanted to make a statement that he could be more TV-friendly and entertaining; he succeeded.

Moreno has ascended to become one of the top defensive boxers in the sport. De La Mora landed well below 20% of his shots.  Physically and psychologically, De La Mora seemed demoralized by Moreno's skills, hand speed and intelligence.

Next for Moreno most likely will be a move up to junior featherweight, where some enormous names loom. He stated after the fight that he wants Nonito Donaire, but I don't see Top Rank risking its star for that type of risky proposition. Mares could be another possibility. The thought of a clash against Japan's Toshiaki Nishioka, which would be a battle of two slick and fast southpaws, has my mind racing.

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Abner Mares emerged from the meat grinder of Showtime's bantamweight tournament as the victor. His fights against Vic Darchinyan and Joseph Agbeko were grueling affairs. A prospect entering the tournament, he was forced to mature against those aggressive opponents. He proved to be the best of the tournament, but he was not yet a finished product. 

The thought process for Team Mares behind this fight was for their boxer to move up in weight against a guy who wasn't a big puncher. Although the bout wasn't exactly a respite or a stay-busy exercise for Mares, it did provide him with a break from the types of aggressive brawlers whom he had been facing. Those fighters shorten careers.   

To Mares' credit, he didn't take Morel lightly. Within the first two rounds, he established his straight right hand and left hook. Mares also brought a new wrinkle to the fight with a looping right hand. Essentially, Morel's high guard was blocking a lot of straight shots, so Mares took a step back and fired some looping rights; they pasted Morel's left side of his head.

Mares dominated the first half of the match. He led wonderfully with his jab and followed up with his impressive array of power shots. He continually went hard to Morel's body with his left hook and showed a nice uppercut in close range. His defense in the first half of the fight looked much tighter than it had in his recent bouts.

As the fight progressed, Mares became more undisciplined, resorting to some of the wildness that had surfaced in the Darchinyan and Agbeko bouts. Though he was never in danger of getting hurt or giving up rounds (I had Mares winning by a shutout), he got tagged a bit over the last few rounds of the fight. Mares' defense got sloppy at points, but clearly his chin held up fine from Morel's shots.  

For better or for worse, Mares sees himself as a brawler. It makes for great TV and pleases fans. However, it wouldn't be too hard to imagine a skillful master like Moreno or a power puncher like Donaire having success against Mares, especially when he squares up to start brawling.

I'm interested to see if Mares' power plays at the new weight. Morel had a sturdy chin and all of the veteran survival tricks. Mares hit him with everything but Morel was never in danger of going down. One more note on this topic: in Mares' five fights at the world-class level, he hasn't knocked anyone out. However, he's faced some very good fighters and is still improving; it's possible that more power (if he's fighting at a more comfortable weight class or tightens his technique) may still come. If Mares' power doesn't carry to 122, he'll need to make some adjustments to remain a top fighter at his new weight.

I would favor Moreno over Mares if they ever fought. I think Moreno's accuracy and elusiveness would be just enough to better Mares' aggressive banging. But all fighters get hit. It would be up to Mares to keep his shots short and capitalize on all of his opportunities. Mares-Moreno is a fight that I really want to see.

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