Thursday, June 12, 2014

Pound-for-Pound Update 6-12-14

With Miguel Cotto's impressive dismantling of Sergio Martinez on Saturday, significant changes have been made to the Saturday Night Boxing pound-for-pound list. Cotto looked terrific in the fight; however, there was some difficulty in finding the best place to rank him in that he has still lost recent fights to Floyd Mayweather and Austin Trout. I settled on the #12 position for him. 

After Sergio Martinez's performance on Saturday, he no longer warrants a place on the SNB Top-20 Fighters list. Previously, the number-three fighter in the Rankings, Martinez was not competitive whatsoever against Cotto. He was ruled down four times in the fight and on my card he didn't even win a round. At 39, it's safe to say that his days of being an elite fighter have come to an end.  The updated Saturday Night Boxing pound-for-pound list follows: 
  1. Floyd Mayweather
  2. Andre Ward
  3. Wladimir Klitschko
  4. Manny Pacquiao
  5. Juan Manuel Marquez
  6. Tim Bradley
  7. Guillermo Rigondeaux
  8. Carl Froch
  9. Roman Gonzalez
  10. Bernard Hopkins
  11. Adonis Stevenson
  12. Miguel Cotto
  13. Danny Garcia
  14. Anselmo Moreno
  15. Nonito Donaire
  16. Juan Estrada
  17. Takashi Uchiyama
  18. Mikey Garcia
  19. Gennady Golovkin
  20. Shinsuke Yamanaka
Adam Abramowitz is the head writer and founder of saturdaynightboxing.com.
He is also a member of the Transnational Boxing Rankings Board.
Contact Adam at saturdaynightboxing@hotmail.com 
@snboxing on twitter
Follow Saturday Night Boxing on Facebook:
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Tuesday, June 10, 2014

Opinions and Observations: Cotto-Martinez

During the Roman Empire, a bestiarius was a man who went into combat against a wild animal. This contest would occur in an amphitheater in front of thousands of spectators. There were two types of bestiarii. A venatio was a volunteer bestiarius, one who fought for glory or money. But more common was the bestiarius who was damnatio ad bestias, condemned to death. This second type of bestiarius would be thrown into the ring without any form of armor, weaponry or protection; death was a certainty. 

Sergio Martinez entered the lion's den of Madison Square Garden on Saturday against Miguel Cotto believing that he was a venatio (apologies if you're offended by the mixing of ancient metaphors). He had trained for combat. He was allowed weapons to defend himself and given compensation. But he was incorrect in his assumptions. Within minutes, he realized that he was the second type of bestiarius, damnatio ad bestias by Miguel Cotto's ferocious left hooks and feral aggression. 

Down Martinez went within the opening moments of the first round from a left hook to the temple. His weapons and forms of protection failed to materialize. He was naked in the ring, just like those damnatio ad bestias from ancient times. He hit the canvas twice more in the round from Cotto's relentless follow up attack. Only by referee Michael Griffin's beneficence did Martinez survive the first round; he was so close to being tiger meat. 

He never got into the fight. Cotto's footwork and hand speed were as good as they had ever been. Moving wonderfully to his right, Cotto was able to cut off the ring effectively and fire left hooks to the head and body, jabs and straight right hands. Perhaps more important was his attitude. Like any quality beast, he was there to rip flesh from bone. Much has been mentioned about his improvement under trainer Freddie Roach, and while his punches have been sharper and his movements more fluid, his temperament of going for the kill under Roach has been most refreshing. 

Martinez found opportunities to fire back with a jab or a straight left hand but it seemed as if every Cotto shot hurt him. Martinez couldn't establish any rhythm or change the tenor of the fight with a big shot. He was knocked down again in the ninth (perhaps a dubious call) and his trainer Pablo Sarmiento called the fight after the round. All that remained of Sergio Martinez after the ninth was his soul. His corporeal being was ravaged by Cotto's hard shots, past injuries and old age. Sarmiento's stoppage showed grace and compassion, a model of how a trainer should protect his fighter. 

Flash forward a few minutes and the HBO crew caught Cotto walking in the tunnels of the arena with tears streaming down his eyes. Cotto's emotional display was a rare glimpse of the fighter in an unguarded state. Stoic almost to a fault, Cotto has been averse to histrionics or theatrics in his career. His significant offensive skills and no-bullshit approach have led to tremendous popularity around the boxing globe. 

Cotto has received criticism from some over the years for not displaying enough personality, a characteristic that is almost anathema to the boisterous and prideful Puerto Rican boxing culture. It's a running game within boxing circles to detect instances of a Cotto smile or laugh, a sense of humanity. However, in the bowels of Madison Square Garden, his stoicism vaporized under the enormity of the moment. Not only was he the middleweight champion of the world, he was the first Puerto Rican to have won titles in four weight classes – now he would forever be associated with the greats of the island: Ortiz, Gomez and Trinidad. 

Despite an illustrious career, Cotto lacked a signature win prior to Martinez. Now that criticism can be buried along with Saturday's bestiarius. 
  
                                                      ***

It gives me no pleasure to have witnessed Sergio Martinez's demise. Clearly fighting as a shell of himself, Martinez scarcely resembled one of the top boxers in the world, a rarefied status that he had maintained throughout his middleweight title run. After multiple surgeries on his knees and hands, he lacked the athleticism to dart in and out. His right plant knee didn't have the proper structural integrity for him to throw hard shots. He couldn't defend himself well and he was down to one shot at a time. It wasn't a pretty sight watching him slowly drag around his unwilling right knee while circling. Here's a scouting report of his performance: the power, gone; the speed, lost; the body, uncooperative; the confidence, shot.

In 2009, I had the pleasure of seeing Martinez live in one of his finest moments against Paul Williams at Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City. It was a wonderful give-and-take battle between two fighters who were at their best. Both boxers exchanged knockdowns in the first round and went toe-to-toe throughout the fight in a beautiful display of athleticism, determination, skill and power. Martinez was the tough-luck loser of a majority decision but many thought that he had won.

Martinez's style was as singular as that of Joe Calzaghe; you would never teach it to an aspiring fighter but it worked for him. A swashbuckler, a daredevil, he was an athletically gifted, high-volume southpaw power puncher with enough defensive flaws to give opponents a shot. How many of those do we see in the sport? He had unconventional footwork, refused to keep his hands up on defense but had a wonderful ability to escape danger by mere inches. In addition, he didn't mind taking a shot. He was both a gentlemen and a destroyer. He had American flash, European etiquette and the perseverance of poor kid trying to escape the barrio.  

In 2010, I attended the Williams rematch and to this day I have never seen a faster knockout punch than that devastating left hand he delivered in the second round. Everyone in my section missed it. The way that Williams toppled over, we had thought that it was a body shot. Only by replay did we realize how fast, quick and perfect that left hand to the chin was; I was hooked. 

As a boxing enthusiast, I tend to be most interested in the happenings within the squared circle and the preparations made for big fights. Although not immune to aspects of personality, upbringing and comportment, those attributes play subsidiary considerations in my overall love affair with the sport. However, it's impossible to cover boxing and not become moved by some of the harrowing and astonishing life stories and backgrounds of the fighters. 

Martinez, like Hopkins and Pacquiao, was one of those guys for me. His story is almost too unlikely to be true. Growing up poor in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Martinez didn't even take to boxing until he was 20, a very advanced age for a novice. Now what would the odds be for a 20-year-old with no experience to become one of the top-five boxers in the world?  1,000-1? 1,000,000-1? 

But the odds get even longer. Martinez failed to establish himself in Argentina. An early knockout loss to Antonio Margarito ruined whatever early momentum he had. With barely any money, he left for Madrid in hopes of getting better training. For years he toiled and toiled. At age 32, he was still fighting four-rounders in Spain. Think about that. What are the odds of a 32-year-old, four-round fighter becoming a world champion? But he kept winning. Eventually two people of worth noticed: Sampson Lewkowicz and Lou DiBella.  

Ten years into his career, Martinez was finally starting to get TV recognition. After 13 years and a third continent as a base for his fights, he got a title shot (again, think about how few fighters would tread this path before giving up). At the age of 35, he won a belt, and not just a paper title, but the lineal middleweight championship of the world. 

Martinez became easy to root for. Without any of the grand designs from the major boxing powers, he forced himself into the discussion as one of the top fighters in the sport, and he did it at an age when most fighters start fading away. He had flash and panache but he never lost the humility of a man who had worked hard for everything that he had earned. 

And he provided many wonderful moments in the ring. I'm not sure that he was ever better than that night in 2011 when he destroyed the undefeated Serhiy Dzinziruk, knocking him down five times with every punch in the book. Who could forget that left cross which was so fast that both Kermit Cintron and ref Frank Santore believed that it had been a head butt? Or what about his first 10 rounds of masterful boxing against Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.? 

But there should have been more. Much more. I've always had a sense of regret when thinking about Martinez. Slaving away in the clubs of Madrid in his early 30s making nothing, he should have been here earlier. Top promoters passed on him. Big TV showed little interest. Boxing fans were deprived of many of Sergio's peak years because of bad luck and the failure of imagination. Fortunately, Lewkowicz and DiBella rescued an enormous talent from anonymity, but boxing failed Martinez for many years. 

Thus, it is with great sadness that I reflect upon the professional demise of one of the great talents of this era. He still may have had a Hall of Fame career but had boxing done its job, he should have been in against greats like Hopkins and Wright, and maybe he would have won.  

Cotto did his job on Saturday and did it magnificently. He forced Martinez into helplessness and made it abundantly clear that this once great fighter was finished as a major factor in the sport.

But I'll always remember Martinez's cheesy Burger King-style crown that he proudly wore after victories, Lou DiBella running around the ring like an ecstatic little boy after the Williams knockout and those blindingly fast left hands. Sergio Martinez was a great and improbable champ, a star who sadly spent most of his career star-crossed. 

Adam Abramowitz is the head writer and founder of saturdaynightboxing.com.
He is also a member of the Transnational Boxing Rankings Board.
Contact Adam at saturdaynightboxing@hotmail.com 
@snboxing on twitter
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Friday, June 6, 2014

Cotto-Martinez: Keys to the Fight

One of the truly intriguing fights of 2014 unfolds on Saturday between Miguel Cotto (38-4, 31 KOs) and Sergio Martinez (51-2-2, 28 KOs) at Madison Square Garden, New York City. Cotto seeks a title belt in his fourth weight class while Martinez (off over a year because of injuries) wants to reestablish himself as the dominant middleweight of his era. The buildup to the fight has featured all sorts of gamesmanship, from the maximum weight limit (159-lbs.) to the boxers' placement on the marketing materials to who walks in first to whether Martinez can wear a knee brace in the ring. Although both fighters have represented the sport with class and dignity, there is certainly no love lost between them. 

Martinez is the betting favorite in the fight but Cotto will certainly have the crowd in his favor and he has a history of winning close decision at the arena. Read below for the keys to the fight. My prediction will be at the end of the article. 

1. Martinez's health. 

This key overrides all other factors for the fight. Since his victory over Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. in September of 2012, Martinez has had multiple knee and hand surgeries. During his last fight in April of 2013 against Marty Murray, Martinez's mobility and punching power showed marked signs of decline. After the fight, which he won via a competitive decision, Martinez went under the knife again. 

Martinez's health is the mystery that surrounds Saturday's fight. Should he be close to 100%, he theoretically has advantages in power, size, speed, height and reach. However, his full recovery is anything but certain. Prior to the Murray fight, Martinez was barely able to spar. For this fight, it's unclear how much roadwork or sparring Martinez has actually done during training camp. 

Pablo Sarmiento, Martinez's trainer, has eschewed lengthy sparring sessions for Martinez in the past, believing that gym wars could very well diminish his fighter, who is now 39. However, have they adequately tested the knee? Is the punching power still there? What about his reflexes? If Martinez isn't the same fighter as he was in his prime, Cotto could have many opportunities to impose himself in the ring. 

2. Cotto must pressure Martinez early. 

I think that Freddie Roach, Cotto's trainer, has the right idea here. He has repeatedly talked about an early-round knockout as his prediction for the fight. And although this outcome many not occur, the opening rounds may be Cotto's best opportunity to cause damage. Roach wants Cotto to test Martinez's knee, resolve and confidence immediately. Perhaps Martinez's knee can't take the stress of the fight and gives out. If Martinez hasn't sparred a lot, it's possible that he might need a number of rounds to get into the match. Maybe after such a long time out of the ring, the fire isn't there for him any longer. Also, his reflexes could have significantly deteriorated. Ultimately, it's up to Cotto to find out these answers by using pressure to force Martinez into uncomfortable situations. 

Although Cotto isn't fleet-a-foot, he certainly has the tools for this game plan. He's excellent at cutting off the ring. He can use his jab, short right hand or left hook to get inside against an opponent. At close range, he can be deadly with body punching. 

However, in recent fights Cotto hasn't always displayed the same killer instinct that he did when he was at his best. He looked terrific in his last fight in blitzing an overmatched Delvin Rodriguez but will he show the same type of aggression against an accurate and hard puncher like Martinez? If he doesn't, he may be in for a long night.

3. Martinez needs to be first. 

Martinez can fight in a number of different styles but waiting to counter or sharpshoot Cotto may not be the best idea. Opponents seem to underrate Cotto's jab and right hand. Given the opportunity to land these punches, he certainly will. He even scored with a number of them against Floyd Mayweather, probably the best defensive fighter in boxing today. In Martinez's fights against Darren Barker and Matthew Macklin, he stayed in the pocket firing single, knockout-type counterpunches. The stoppages eventually happened but he lost a number of rounds in the process. Martinez can't wait for the knockout against Cotto; one big shot isn't the way to be beat him. 

Cotto has excellent recuperative powers and a solid chin. He has lost to the pressure of Margarito, the hand speed and athleticism of Manny Pacquiao and Austin Trout and the intelligence of Floyd Mayweather. If Martinez gets off first, he will limit Cotto's opportunities, but if he waits for a big shot, he will put himself in harm's way far more often. 

4. Cotto has to stick with the jab throughout the fight. 

With the exception of outgunned opponents like Rodriguez or Carlos Quintana, where he was able to destroy them with left hooks, Cotto has been at his best when he works off of his jab. His jabs were critical in helping to secure victories against Joshua Clottey and Shane Mosley. Even against a southpaw, like Zab Judah, his jab was able to set up his power punches. 

In his 2012 fight against Trout, who, like Martinez, is a southpaw, Cotto never established his jab with any type of regularity. The only punch that he stuck with consistently was the straight right hand. After Cotto had some success early in the fight, Trout moved wonderfully to his right and essentially nullified that shot for the rest of the bout. Martinez is also cagey and very intelligent in the ring. If there is nothing coming from distance from Cotto's left side, Martinez will move to his right all night. In addition, even if Cotto can't land the jab consistently against Martinez, the stick will help establish other shots. The jab will help keep Martinez honest. 

5. The more movement for Martinez the better. 

Cotto is not exactly a lumbering fighter but he can't match Martinez's foot speed in the center of the ring. In addition, Cotto needs time to plant his feet to throw his power punches. For Martinez's best chance of winning rounds, he should fire off quick jabs and combinations and then step out, turning Cotto with footwork and angles to make him continually reset his feet. 

Martinez has enough natural power (or at least had) that he should be able to cause damage even by keeping his punches and punch sequences short. This strategy will also minimize damage. If Martinez decides to remain in the pocket for long stretches of rounds, Cotto could seize those opportunities to land his best shots. However, if Cotto is constantly turning and unable to get into his power punches, he will be far less effective. 

Prediction: 

I'm going to assume that Martinez is close to healthy. He's had over a year to heal. (However, if he's far from his best physically, then all bets are off). With the stipulation that Martinez is close to 100%, in my estimation this fight is his to lose. He could beat Cotto with just his reach and speed alone. 

However, Martinez can get cocky and overconfident in the ring, trying daredevil escape routes or pulling back with his hands by his waist. There is a showboat inside Martinez that can be exploited by a disciplined fighter. Furthermore, Martinez isn't as difficult to hit as he used to be. As his age has crept up, his speed and reflexes have decreased from their peak powers. If Martinez sticks to basic boxing without getting greedy for a knockout, he could win the fight in the walk – but I'm not sure that he will. Facing Chavez's menacing size and power, Martinez remained disciplined for a good 11 rounds. However, he still got caught in the final round being careless. Martinez underestimated Chavez's reach and got crushed by a right hand, leading to all sorts of problems. 

Cotto will certainly have opportunities to land, but I think that he is in a bind with this matchup. I don't believe that he has the ability to win the fight legitimately on points and I'm not sure that he has the power to knock Martinez out. It's a conundrum that I don't think he will be able to solve. 

Sergio Martinez defeats Miguel Cotto 116-112 (eight rounds to four). 

Adam Abramowitz is the head writer and founder of saturdaynightboxing.com.
He is also a member of the Transnational Boxing Rankings Board.
Contact Adam at saturdaynightboxing@hotmail.com 
@snboxing on twitter
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Tuesday, June 3, 2014

Opinions and Observations: Froch-Groves II

Oh to land that perfect punch! We've practiced it in the mirror. We visualize knocking someone down, rendering an opponent incapacitated with just one shot. What it must feel like! It's the transcendent melding of technique, timing, power and torque. I'll admit, I've never landed it. I know the feeling of crushing a baseball or hitting a golf ball 275 yards dead center down the fairway (happens infrequently) but I've never experienced the sensation that Carl Froch felt on Saturday against George Groves in the eighth round. And I probably never will. After the fight, Froch admitted that it was the best punch he had ever thrown or landed. It must have felt like a million bucks. But to be honest, that would be minimizing things. That punch was worth far more than $1M to Froch. 

Until that point, the rematch between the grizzled veteran Froch and the upstart Groves was neck-and-neck. The opening rounds were oddly tentative, with both fighters seeming tight to me, as if they were chastened by their initial encounter in November when Froch was knocked down in the first round but rallied to score a stoppage in the ninth. On Saturday, Groves tried to conserve energy while Froch didn't want to expose himself to Groves' right hand. 

When he let his hands go, Groves still beat Froch to the punch; however, it was only one shot at a time – just a jab or a right hand. Froch stuck with his jab and waited for opportunities to flurry and roughhouse Groves against the ropes. Many of the rounds were close, Groves' clean, single shots vs. Froch's intermittent combinations where a number of shots were blocked. 

In Froch's corner, there was one piece of crucial information that I picked up from his trainer, Rob McCracken. He kept saying, "Close the gap." And when the final sequence of the bout is replayed, it's easy now to see how Froch won the battle of geography. With Groves' back to the ropes, Froch feinted the right hand, then followed through with a rather pedestrian left hook and finished with the smashing right hand. The left hook was thrown only with the intention of landing the right hand behind it. 

This begs the question: why was Groves spending so much time along the ropes in the rematch? With the faster hands and feet, Groves had advantages in the center of the ring and yet there he was letting Froch tee off on him from close range. 

The slow motion replay of the knockout told the story. Although Groves picked off Froch's left hook, his face was 100% exposed to the follow up right hand. His left hand was down by his waist and he belatedly tried to counter the shot but it was too late. 

The sequence also illustrated Groves' physical state at that moment of the fight. There were two reasons why Groves' left hand was so low, and neither was a good one: 1. His technique started to fall apart because he had stamina issues. 2. He was protecting against another flurry to the body. 

Regardless of which reason explained the low left hand, Groves' bad hand placement highlighted Froch's success in the fight. Throughout the bout, Groves reacted very poorly to Froch's body work. (This also occurred in their first match.) During his flurries, Froch unloaded with left and right hooks to the body unmercifully. As the fight progressed, Groves used his legs much more sparingly and the bout became a stationary battle. Again, Groves won a number of rounds, but, like the first match, he resorted to fighting Froch's fight. Groves' stamina was a real issue in both bouts, and he lacked the wherewithal or conditioning to stick with his game plan. By the time the final blow was struck on Saturday, Froch's body work had done its job. Groves was either gassed or forced under duress into a technical mistake. And that was the fight. 

In the lead-up to the rematch, I switched my prediction a number of times. In the end, I believed that Froch would find a way to win. Essentially, I was siding with who I felt was the smarter fighter. In my experience following boxing, when the talent spread is fairly equal between the combatants, the smarter one usually prevails (there are some notable exceptions). I hadn't liked the way that Groves had conducted himself during the final few rounds of the first fight and I felt like his Ring IQ was not quite up to Froch's level. 

Ultimately, Froch was willing to give up a few rounds to make the fight go his way (prior to the knockout he was up one round on two cards and down one on the other). In his estimation (and I agree with him), once the fight was a battle at close range, it was only a matter of time until he was victorious. Groves did a lot of things well on Saturday, but ring generalship wasn't one of them. 

Finally, one must remark on the character and heart of Groves. After getting blown to smithereens by the final shot, Groves still tried like hell to get up. Even with his left leg bent completely under his body, he somehow found a way to make it to his feet. It was an admirable showing of guts and determination. Thankfully, ref Charlie Fitch saved Groves, who was in terrible shape, from sustaining further damage. Nevertheless, that moment illustrates Groves' desire to be a champion. Now, he must learn how to condition his body and mind to make it so. 

Groves needs some easier fights, perhaps a sagacious assistant trainer and a lot of film study, but the tools are there for him to be a major factor in the super middleweight division. Hopefully he understands that at age 26, time is on his side. If he takes three fights to build himself back up, that world title crown could be his. However, if he insists on immediately going after big game, his development could be forever stunted. There are a lot of experienced, tough cats at 168 (Ward, Abraham, Kessler, Stieglitz and Bika). Groves needs to gain some more experience in the ring before he is ready for those challenges. 

As for Froch, there probably won't be a better moment in his career than Saturday's finale. With the roar of the London crowd after the knockout, Froch finally received universal praise and respect from English fight fans. Having come of age at the tail end of Calzaghe's reign with little fanfare and a lesser promoter, Froch was deemed an unworthy heir to a British-dominated division with legendary names like Eubank, Benn and Calzaghe. He was dismissed as crude and slow, however unfairly. 

At the world-level, Froch has revealed himself to be much more than a barroom brawler, but old stereotypes often die hard. On Saturday, those demons were put to rest for good. That final sequence demonstrated how clever he can be in the ring. Sure, he likes to mix it up, but his willingness to trade often masks his substantial ring intelligence.  

Quieting his detractors and quashing the surrounding negativity (some of which was his own doing), Froch experienced only glory on Saturday. He will always have that perfect punch in front of 80,000 screaming fight fans. May 31, 2014 will forever be his night in British boxing lore. 

**********************************************
Wrapping up some other action throughout the weekend, there were some shady, shady happenings during the featherweight title bout between Nonito Donaire and Simpiwe Vetyeka in Macau, China. Donaire won a fifth-round technical decision, as the fight was stopped on cuts. However, the match was full of controversy, incompetence and questionable decision making. 

Donaire was the challenger, but he was clearly the Top Rank house fighter and crowd favorite. He sustained a nasty cut over his left eyelid early in the fight (it was unclear if ref Luis Pabon ruled the cut as a result of a punch or a clash of heads, more on him in a bit). Donaire proceeded to paw at the cut throughout the third and fourth round, even ceasing to fight at points resulting in Pabon compliantly leading him to the ringside physician for an examination. In boxing protocol, only the ref or the doctor can decide when to suspend action for a physician examination, yet Pabon responded to Donaire's unwillingness to fight with several trips to the neutral corner.  

In the fourth round, Donaire scored a knockdown with a left hook. After the bell ended in the fourth, the fight was technically official. Pabon then proceeded to call off the match immediately after the start of the fifth – Donaire was awarded the decision victory on the judges' scorecards. 

Now, Pabon could have stopped the fight in the fourth, leading to a no-contest. He chose a moment to end it where the house fighter would almost certainly be given the win. Pabon also displayed indecisiveness about ending the fight and a farcical amount of favoritism to Donaire by allowing him to take breaks from the oncoming pressure fighter. At least Donaire was gracious enough to offer Vetyeka a rematch after the fight, which was very competitive. It was a dreadful way for Donaire to win another title belt and his performance did not scream "champion."

Luis Pabon has caused havoc on the international boxing scene for many years. I refer to him as the Puerto Rican Laurence Cole, for wherever he goes, bad decision making follows. Who could forget his failure to police Klitschko-Povetkin, his arbitrary point deductions in Allakhverdiev-M'Baye and his refusal to let Marco Huck work on the inside against Povetkin? Mark Ortega, of Behind the Gloves, brilliantly referred to Saturday's action as Vetyeka getting "Paboned." And there's a lot of truth there. Perhaps there isn't a more incompetent big-time referee in the sport. 

As for Donaire, for this fight he reenlisted his father as head trainer and promised a better performance than his last two outings against Guillermo Rigondeaux and Vic Darchinyan. On Saturday, I saw many of the same signs of the sluggish, late-period Donaire, the one who waits for one-punch knockouts and loads up with left hooks. He put a nice combination together in the fourth which led to the knockdown, but he was also beaten to the punch by Vetyeka throughout the fight and was hit pretty cleanly. 

At one point in time, Donaire was considered a top-five fighter in the sport. But his years of dominance have led to several bad habits in the ring. In addition, his insistence in looking for a way out of Saturday's fight speaks to a lack of mental toughness, which was also in evidence against Rigondeaux.

There are some real talents at featherweight. I wouldn't necessarily count Donaire out against any of them, but I also don't feel particularly confident in that statement. He rarely puts punches together these days and if his desire isn't there, more bad fortune might befall him in the ring, and soon. 

On the Donaire-Vetyeka undercard, one of the rising stars of the featherweight division, Nicholas Walters of Jamaica, made his second title defense against Vic Darchinyan, scoring a brutal knockout in the fifth round with a vicious, compact left hook. Unknown to most in the boxing world a year ago, Walters in now 24-0 with 20 knockouts, and the power is real – not merely a function of weak opposition. Against Darchinyan, he scored three knockdowns, one with his right uppercut and two with his left hook. He didn't even land his best punch that cleanly in the fight, his straight right hand. 

With three knockout weapons, a 73-inch reach and a lot of athleticism, Walters may soon become the class of the featherweight division (however, there are a number of intriguing candidates for that position). He still can be a little raw when delivering his punches and I have yet to see him think his way through a tough fight, but he is certainly one to watch. Top Rank has found a real diamond in the rough here. Expect to see him on HBO soon. 

And on the Froch-Groves II undercard, James DeGale finally put together a great performance, dispatching Brandon Gonzales in four rounds. Although DeGale always had excellent hand and foot speed, an awkward style and a solid jab, he frequently displayed two glaring deficiencies in his pro career: he could become passive and he didn't often sit down on his shots. 

Fighting with something to prove on Saturday, DeGale stormed out of the gates in the first round with power shots. Switch-hitting and using his athletic advantages, he flummoxed Gonzales in the opening frame. After a close second, DeGale took over in the third, crushing Gonzales with hard left hands and fast combinations. He eventually sent Gonzales down twice before the match was stopped in the fourth (too early probably, but hey, it was a British ref, it happens).

If things had broken differently for DeGale, the former Olympic gold medalist, it could have been him fighting in the main event. He lost a razor-thin decision to Groves in 2011. Since that defeat, he had numerous promotional issues, injuries and uneven performances. Now aligned with promotional powerhouse Matchroom Sport, DeGale has spoken about his renewed commitment to the sport. 

After the knockout, he called out Froch. Quite honestly, I don't think that DeGale is ready for that type of battle yet. Gonzales was certainly a capable challenger but he is still a few levels below Froch. If DeGale is gung-ho in shooting for a title, I think that Sakio Bika is his best bet. Although Bika can be rough and packs a punch, he's essentially a straight-line fighter. DeGale would have a good chance to box and outmaneuver him. But let's leave matchmaking for another day. At least DeGale has made the boxing world care about him again; that's an excellent start.

Adam Abramowitz is the head writer and founder of saturdaynightboxing.com.
He is also a member of the Transnational Boxing Rankings Board.
Contact Adam at saturdaynightboxing@hotmail.com 
@snboxing on twitter
Follow Saturday Night Boxing on Facebook:
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Friday, May 30, 2014

Froch-Groves II: Keys to the Fight

One of the biggest fights in British boxing history takes place on Saturday at Wembley Stadium between super middleweight titlist Carl Froch (32-2, 23 KOs) and George Groves (19-1, 15 KOs). The fight, a rematch of a controversial ninth-round knockout victory by Froch in November, will be contested in front of 80,000 and has garnered significant boxing interest from around the globe. In their first meeting, Groves scored a surprising knockdown in the first round and dominated the early action. Eventually, Froch found his way back into the fight and pounded on Groves in the ninth round when ref Howard Foster decided to halt the action, awarding Froch the win (Foster was way too hasty in ending it). At the time of the stoppage, Froch was down on all three scorecards. 

For the rematch, Froch has vowed to fight more intelligently while Groves has stated that he is looking for the knockout. This fight has all of the elements: former friends turned rivals, a Londoner vs. a Midlander, youth vs. experience and wildly passionate English fight fans, many of whom have turned sour on Froch over the past few years. Read below for the keys to the fight. My prediction will be at the end of the article. 

1. What have they learned from their first fight?

It's a rare combination when a fighter underestimates his opponent's speed and power, but that's exactly what happened to Froch in their first encounter, with Groves dominating the early action with fast and hard counter right hands. Groves clearly targeted Froch's lazy and pawing jabs and punished him with power shots. The first three rounds were a train wreck for Froch, who was just trying to survive. Short of getting knocked out early on Saturday (which Groves has predicted), it's tough for Froch to have a worse start than he did last November. 

As their first bout continued into the middle rounds, Groves started to slip. His conditioning waned and when he was hurt in the ninth, he didn't tie up like he should have. Perhaps the early pace sapped his energy or Froch's body shots eventually paid their dividends, but Groves in rounds eight and nine scarcely resembled the fighter who dominated the fight's opening moments. 

For the rematch, Froch has to be far more purposeful with his punches and movement. He gets into bad habits on occasion by throwing ineffectual jabs, not returning his hands quickly enough to a responsible defensive position and relying on his machismo instead of sound strategy. He is certainly capable of boxing or slugging, using his feet or fighting in the trenches; however, he has to commit to his punches and his game plan. 

Groves needs to understand that boxing can often be a marathon and not necessarily a sprint. He certainly tried to end the fight early last November. But instead of transitioning from brawling to boxing, he doubled down on going for the knockout, eating a lot of shots along the way. Having a viable Plan B for the rematch would serve him well. 

2. Will Groves use his athletic advantages?

Watching the first bout, I felt that Groves was fighting Froch's fight. What I mean is that he decided to slug it out in the ring at close or mid-range instead of using his faster hands and feet to pile up points. Froch was used to 12-round wars but it was clear that Groves lacked some of the key elements needed for that style of combat, such as knowing how to survive and when to take breaks. 

Froch certainly can't match Groves' hand speed or his athletic ability. But will Groves capitalize on this or will he give Froch opportunities by entering into a toe-to-toe battle? It's seems ridiculous that Groves, with his speed, allowed Froch to land so many body shots in the first fight, but that's precisely what happened. I think that it's an easier path to victory for Groves if he boxes and moves, but will he fight intelligently or continue to be knockout-happy? This approach has already resulted in his first loss and it may continue to haunt him on Saturday. By using his athleticism, he limits Froch's opportunities and takes less punishment. That makes sense to me, but we'll see. 

3. Froch must avoid fighting at mid-range.

It's clear that Groves has all sorts of advantages in the pocket. Groves can score with jabs or lead right hands and he can also counter very well with his right hand or left hook. Froch started out their first fight at mid-range and paid a heavy price. 

For the rematch, Froch has to be in or out. He boxed masterfully against Arthur Abraham from the outside and destroyed Lucian Bute by rushing in from the outside and battering him along the ropes. Those strategies could work well for Froch on Saturday. He also could have success in a phone-booth war, where his savage body punching could have a pronounced effect. Again, anywhere but mid-range he has a chance. 

4. Body punching.

This was Froch's secret weapon in the first fight. From the fourth round on, Froch wasn't necessarily trying to win rounds as much as he was hoping to slow Groves down with left hooks and right hands to the body. The strategy was certainly effective and body punching will be a big component of his fight plan for the rematch. It's still unclear if Groves has the stamina to go 12 hard rounds and Froch will certainly test that out. 

Groves also has a fantastic left hook to the body. He didn't really use it in the first fight as he was essentially monomaniacal in his quest for an early knockout. Andre Ward showed that Froch could be vulnerable on the inside by crowding him, grappling and hitting him consistently to the body. Groves would do well to adapt elements of that approach. A consistent body attack will also make him less predictable and keep Froch guessing. Whoever wins the body punching battle might very well take the fight. 

5. Intelligence.

Froch can get sloppy but I have yet to see him beat himself in the ring. His losses to Ward and Kessler could not be attributed to mental lapses or bad decision making. He was beaten by better men; it happens. 

Froch has one of the truly great cornermen in the game with Robert McCracken, who came up with brilliant strategies to beat Abraham, Bute and Kessler in the rematch. Groves' trainer, Paddy Fitzpatrick, had a startling game plan for the first fight. While everyone expected Groves to box, the fighter instead came out slugging and almost scored the early knockout. It was some brilliant stuff from Fitzpatrick. Still, one has the sense that the trainer and boxer let the fight get away from them. 

Groves' previous trainer, Adam Booth, is known for his clever game plans, conditioning and reliance on boxing. The latter two of those elements were clearly missing from Groves' performance in the first fight. Although Booth may not have implemented the audacious game plan that Fitzpatrick did, he most likely would have applied a more risk-adverse strategy that could have given Groves a better way to win. Remember, it was Booth who helped guide Groves past the heavily favored James DeGale.

On Saturday, Groves will no longer have the element of surprise. Froch and McCracken will have another training camp to plan for him; they will have seen lots of film. Groves showed in the first fight that he wasn't great at making adjustments. Has he since matured? Is he now more receptive to his corner? Is he willing to take the less sexy path to victory or will he still fight guns blazing, regardless of its effectiveness? 

Prediction:

I'll be honest with you. I have flipped twice with my pick. Initially when the rematch was announced, I leaned toward Froch because I liked the way he was able to turn the tide of momentum in the first fight. He showed veteran savvy and a refusal to panic under duress. 

However, the more I thought about it...I said to myself it's not as if Froch is going to get any faster or younger. Groves has so many natural advantages in the matchup. If he uses them, surely he could take a decision victory. 

And here's where the problem comes in. To me, Groves hasn't yet shown the discipline or the ability to make adjustments needed to beat Froch without knocking him out. A smarter fighter, one who is more calm under pressure, would have comported himself better in that ninth round last year. It's not that Groves got hurt which was the problem; it's how he reacted to it. 

Sure, it's certainly possible that Groves can knock out Froch in the rematch. But Froch has found ways to survive in the past against big punchers and I'm not sure if Groves will have nearly the same opportunity to end it as he did in the first fight. I have a feeling that Froch and McCracken will put together an excellent game plan for the rematch, limiting Groves' strengths. And I also believe that they will be the ones who make the better adjustments during the fight. Ultimately, I see Froch securing a razor-thin victory. I'm taking the fighter who doesn't beat himself. 

Carl Froch defeats George Groves by split decision. 

Adam Abramowitz is the head writer and founder of saturdaynightboxing.com.
He is also a member of the Transnational Boxing Rankings Board.
Contact Adam at saturdaynightboxing@hotmail.com 
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