Showing posts with label Jermell Charlo. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jermell Charlo. Show all posts

Sunday, October 1, 2023

Opinions and Observations: Canelo-Charlo

Let's start at the end, shall we? After Saul "Canelo" Alvarez's domination of Jermell Charlo, Canelo was jubilant during the post-fight interview. "I love boxing so f$&#ing much," the undisputed super middleweight champion shouted, smiling ear to ear. Leading up to Saturday's fight, Canelo had acknowledged slippage in his most recent outings, and he declared that he had rededicated himself to the sport. For this fight he left his comfortable San Diego home base for the mountains near Lake Tahoe and scheduled a 14-week training camp, not the sign of a boxer who is cutting corners.   

The results were striking. It was immediately apparent how much better he looked on his feet. Canelo had a bounce to his step. His footwork wasn't ponderous. And he put together a strong 12 rounds. There was no fade; he didn't look labored. He was focused on the task at hand. He looked like a craftsman who had fallen back in love with his work. 

Canelo lands a left hook to the body
Photo courtesy of Esther Lin/Showtime

After losing 10 or 11 of the rounds on Saturday, Charlo didn't seem particularly bothered by his defeat. In his post-fight interview, he talked about how he had been proud of himself, that he dared to be great, that he could move back down to 154 lbs. 

Yet his effort didn't live up to the "Lions Only" moniker that he and his brother had given themselves. Charlo never looked comfortable or confident. He was far more concerned with being evasive in the ring than trying to mount a consistent offense. He got in a sharp left hook every so often, but the commitment to win just wasn't there.  

It was a strange performance from Charlo, who had always fought hard during his tough matchups. Even when things hadn't gone his way in several of his bouts, he had a way of willing himself back into fights. He saved a draw with his late-round rally in the first Brian Castano fight. He had trouble with John Jackson's movement before stopping him. Tony Harrison was having a great second fight until Charlo turned it around with a late-round knockout.  

But against Canelo, Charlo was compliant in his defeat. He capitulated. In watching the fight, I never got the sense that he believed he could win, or even if he couldn't, that he would do his absolute best to try for it. I'm sure being knocked down in the seventh spooked him, but well before that point the fight had failed to be competitive.  

Charlo taking a knee in the seventh
Photo courtesy of Esther Lin

Although there was a significant power gap between the two, which certainly affected Charlo, the most striking difference to me was their respective defenses. While Charlo's defense has always been penetrable, he had almost always been able to get through with his best punches. And yet according to CompuBox, he landed less than 18% of his shots. Canelo essentially doubled Charlo's connect percentage. Although Charlo lacked Canelo's power, Canelo's victory was far more comprehensive than that factor. Charlo didn't even have the tools to land on Canelo on a consistent basis. And considering that Charlo entered the fight as an undisputed champion and one of the elites in the sport, that's quite an alarming piece of evidence. 

Canelo will always be known for his left hook, but I think that his right hook was the best punch of Saturday's fight. Like a surgeon, he was able to place the shot perfectly around Charlo's high guard and land it with thudding power. Charlo never made the defensive adjustment for the punch. The knockdown in the seventh was a direct result of Canelo's success with the right hook. With Charlo against the ropes, Canelo was lining up the right hand, but instead of hooking with it, he shot an overhead right between Charlo's gloves. The shot itself didn't knock Charlo down, but he took a knee to regroup; the punch was that devastating. Ultimately, Charlo's inability to defend the right hand was his single biggest defensive issue (and there were others). Instead of taking away Canelo's straight right or his right hook, Charlo was unable to do either. 

Throughout the rest of the fight Canelo mixed in an array of single shots: jabs, hooks, uppercuts. In the past he had several fights where he became too left hook-happy or was overly reliant on his overhand right. On Saturday, he was able to throw and land his entire arsenal. Although he rarely threw in combination, he offered an unpredictability with his punch selection that kept Charlo unsettled.  

The respective performances from Canelo and Charlo illustrate the importance of intangibles. Canelo fought like he had more to prove on the night. Essentially, it was a guy who wanted to be there against a guy who quickly didn't. Charlo is certainly a much better fighter than he showed on Saturday, but he wasn't interested in finding out what would happen if he really went for it. He's a guy who still has options at 154 and 160 lbs., and he fought like it. While Canelo demonstrated that he was the more skilled fighter in the ring, even that advantage can often be overcome or even challenged by an opponent's desire or will, but Charlo manifested none of that on Saturday.   

Charlo will certainly face another notable opponent in a lower weight class, but he will return to the ring with his reputation diminished. In the biggest moment of his career, Charlo made a deal with himself to survive. That is the opposite of what prizefighting is about. And while I'm sure that the additional zeroes in his bank account will take the sting off his loss, the fans and the boxing industry will remember his poor showing. He had a historic opportunity to cement his legacy, to become an era-defining fighter, and he didn't go for it, deciding instead to be satisfied with his participation trophy.

Adam Abramowitz is the founder and head writer of saturdaynightboxing.com
He's a contributing writer for Ring Magazine, a member of Ring Magazine's Ring Ratings Panel and a Board Member for the Transnational Boxing Rankings Board. 
snboxing on twitter. SN Boxing on Facebook.  

Tuesday, September 26, 2023

Canelo-Charlo: Preview and Prediction

When the fight between undisputed super middleweight champion Saul "Canelo" Alvarez (59-2-2, 39 KOs) and undisputed 154-lb. king Jermell Charlo (35-1-1, 19 KOs) was originally announced, I immediately thought that Charlo had a great chance to spring the upset. Let me be more specific; despite Charlo moving up two divisions, I felt very confident that he would win the fight. But as the days and weeks have passed from that initial feeling, and as Saturday approaches (the fight will be at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas), I have significant concerns about Charlo's chances of winning.  

In Charlo's last fight, the rematch with Brian Castano where Charlo won by 10th-round stoppage, I thought that Jermell had the performance of his career. He had finally put everything together: power, boxing ability, purposeful movement, listening to his coach Derrick James, and not loading up on big punches. That Jermell Charlo was clearly among the top fighters in the world, and I could see him giving Canelo or any elite opponent problems.  

But then I asked myself: Can Charlo sustain this new level or was that performance a peak that was unlikely to be duplicated? And this is one of the central questions in analyzing Canelo-Charlo. If Charlo can summon that degree of perfection again, then I believe that he possesses all the attributes he would need to beat Canelo. But what are the chances of him putting together two perfect performances in a row?  

Canelo (left) and Charlo at the kickoff press conference
Photo courtesy of Ryan Hafey/Premier Boxing Champions

In digging into Charlo's ring history, I feel less confident that the version from the second Castano fight will be here to stay. He's struggled against boxers before. He was lucky to escape the first Castano fight with a draw. He lost to Tony Harrison in a competitive fight and Harrison was doing very well in the rematch before Charlo stopped him. He also ate some huge shots against Jeison Rosario before ending that fight. In a concerning performance, he struggled to defeat Austin Trout despite knocking him down twice.  

With the exception of the Castano rematch, Charlo has never strung together a dominant wall-to-wall display in his career against a top opponent and I think that he would need to be close to that level to win a decision over Canelo. I don't think that Charlo will be able to stop Alvarez, who has demonstrated a sterling chin throughout his career, so a points win for Charlo would be a must.  

In almost all his fights with Derrick James, Charlo has been a low-volume power puncher who will give up some rounds looking for the knockout. Again, the second Castano fight was a deviation from this pattern. And maybe he found something new with his last fight, but I'm skeptical that he can maintain a higher-volume style against Canelo. Canelo's a master counterpuncher and the more that opponents open up against him, the more opportunities he has to counter. Thus, I do believe that Charlo, especially after feeling some early counters from Canelo, will not be throwing tons of volume in trying to win the fight. 

And if Saturday's match does settle into a low-volume affair with a couple of decisive power punches a round, then the fight will favor Canelo. Alverez's power shots sparkle; they are easy to see; plus, he will have the crowd with him.  

I also have additional concerns about Charlo's preparation and sharpness for the fight. Derrick James has had an absurdly busy schedule over the summer with his involvement with Errol Spence, Anthony Joshua and Frank Martin. There have been videos circulating of Charlo training with former champion Joan Guzman during this camp. Now Guzman was a terrific fighter and a really sharp boxer at his best, but I think that James' connection with Charlo has been vital in taking Jermell to his current level in the sport. Maybe Guzman is an excellent trainer, but I'm not sure that he can replace the bond that Charlo has with James. Charlo and James will need to be in lockstep to beat Canelo and with James having a broken camp with Charlo, I'm concerned that they might not have the dedicated time needed to cover every base needed for this fight.  

In addition, Charlo will enter Saturday's fight coming off a 16-month layoff, which will be the longest period of inactivity in his career as a champion. Charlo is a rhythm fighter who needs to be on point with his counters and power shots to win rounds. I worry about his ability to be sharp throughout 12 rounds against Canelo without having been in the ring recently. 

Now it's true that Canelo hasn't looked terrific in his recent fights. He had big leads against Gennadiy Golovkin and John Ryder but didn't finish either fight strong. He was also summarily outboxed by Dmitrii Bivol, where he couldn't handle Bivol's length, discipline or footspeed. And while Charlo can certainly box, I don't think that he possesses too many similarities with Bivol, who prefers to go in-and-out hitting singles and doubles, not concerned with knockouts or landing his best power shots. 

In the final analysis for Saturday's fight, I edge the fight to Canelo. I think it will be a battle of intermittent power punches. I think that Canelo hits a little harder, he can take a big shot, and is more comfortable with his style on the big stage. I believe that Charlo at his very best possesses the traits to win, but I'm not sure that he will be on point from the opening bell or have the ability to stick with his game plan for 12 rounds. Ultimately, I think that Canelo will be just a little bit better throughout the fight. Expect some ferocious power punches landed, but also a fair amount of staring in the fight, with many rounds coming down to one or two decisive punches. I think that Canelo would welcome this type of fight and I believe that he will do enough to have his hands raised when the final scores are announced. 

Saul "Canelo" Alvarez defeats Jermell Charlo via decision. Let's call it seven rounds to five or eight rounds to four. 

Adam Abramowitz is the founder and head writer of saturdaynightboxing.com
He's a contributing writer for Ring Magazine, a member of Ring Magazine's Ring Ratings Panel and a Board Member for the Transnational Boxing Rankings Board. 
snboxing on twitter. SN Boxing on Facebook.  

Sunday, May 15, 2022

Opinions and Observations: Charlo-Castano 2

When a fighter puts it all together, it's a joy to watch. In Saturday's rematch against 154-lb. titleholder Brian Castano, Jermell Charlo demonstrated a breadth of talent that only the elite in the sport can hope to possess. The adjustments that Charlo implemented from fight one to fight two are proof of his extraordinary boxing aptitude. It wasn't just a single change that he made, but several major ones, and he did so in just one fight camp. In a complete and comprehensive performance, he stopped Castano in the 10th round to become undisputed champion at junior middleweight.

Before delving into Saturday's rematch, let's do a quick recap on where things went sideways for Charlo in the first Castano fight (where Jermell earned a disputed draw). This will provide some context for his improvement in fight #2. Charlo was far too knockout happy in the first bout, loading up on his counter left hook and taking scores of unnecessary shots waiting for opportunities to throw. He also languished on the ropes, leaving Castano with ample opportunity to get his work in and score points. Although his corner pleaded with him to use his boxing skills more, Charlo kept his jab holstered far too often and didn't have a strong work rate. He was able to hurt Castano a couple of times, but he was outhustled throughout most of the fight and in my estimation didn't do enough to beat Castano. 

Charlo's left jab was a big factor in the rematch
Photo courtesy of Stephanie Trapp

Coming into Saturday's rematch, I had concerns about Charlo's mindset. In pre-fight interviews, he was doubling down on the knockout, and I didn't think that more of the same would be sufficient to defeat Castano. 

Well, Charlo did score the knockout on Saturday, but his performance was far more than just connecting with a big shot. He put punches together from the beginning of the fight and was determined to stay active and win rounds. The stoppage didn't come out of thin air. It was a result of the damaging shots that he had landed throughout the fight. The left hook that dropped Castano for the first time in the 10th didn't even land fully flush, but Castano still dropped to his knees; Charlo had already depleted him. 

The first sign that things were going to be different in the rematch was Charlo's avoidance of the ropes. Although he did back up through large sections of the fight, he didn't go straight back. He moved in angles, allowing himself room to throw and to evade Castano's onrushes. When he did touch the ropes, he would leap forward to tie-up Castano, which was something I'm sure that Charlo's trainer, Derrick James, had drilled into him for the rematch. Score one point for a successful fighter/trainer partnership!

The next adjustment was punch volume. Charlo was far busier in the second fight, throwing over ten punches a round more than he did in their first encounter. That's a significant improvement. And these weren't throwaway punches either. Charlo would fill dead spaces with his jab and would also follow Castano out with counter punches, not allowing his opponent to rest. It made it harder for Castano to punctuate rounds. Even when Castano would have impressive flurries, Charlo refused to let Castano's momentary success be the determining factor of a given round; he went right back to work to try to win it. It's telling that prior to the 10th, Charlo was up by at least three rounds on each scorecard. He didn't need a late-round comeback similar to the one in the first fight; he was already in the driver's seat. 

Charlo's punch variety was also more pronounced in the rematch. His jab was a real factor. He threw his right hand with more regularity, connecting with a number of pulsating counters. Notably, he started the sequence that led to the first knockdown with a right hand to the body. Charlo also mixed in a few tasty left uppercuts. He gave Castano far more to think about than just his counter left hook. 

Charlo incorporated the best aspects of the different phases of his career to defeat Castano. He showed that he could use his legs, put rounds in the bank with his boxing skills, counter with power, feature multiple offensive weapons, stymie aggression, and punch his way out of sticky situations. He wasn't afraid of combat, but he understood that he didn't have to resort to it at every moment to win the fight. It was a complete performance. 

Charlo jubilant after dropping Castano
Photo courtesy of Stephanie Trapp

As for Castano, I don't think that he was a sharp as he was in the first fight, but much of that can be attributed to Charlo, who wouldn't let him have his preferred geography in the ring. When an opponent stands in front of Castano on the ropes, Brian can be a devastating offensive fighter, throwing barrages of power punches from all angles. But those occasions were seldom on Saturday. Castano did feature one new wrinkle on Saturday, a lead right from distance that he landed almost at will. Unfortunately for him, he wasn't able to build on that success consistently. His right was very sharp, but he couldn't put many multi-punch combinations together. I also don't think that his feet were as good as they were in their first fight. He seemed more ponderous in the ring.

Castano was still busier than Charlo on Saturday, but he didn't have the same level of effectiveness. Charlo's punches were clearly heavier and had the more significant impact. And despite backing up, Charlo's counters were easy to see; there were very few exchanges along the ropes where it was tough to tell what was landing, which certainly occurred in the first fight. 

***

Charlo's road to undisputed did not follow a straight line. He had to learn along the way. He lost the entire first half of the John Jackson bout and took too long to make adjustments, he was flummoxed by Tony Harrison's cagey movement in their first fight, and he fell in love with his power against Castano in their initial meeting. 

Although immensely gifted, he doesn't have the improvisatory genius to cover up for potential shortcomings. He can develop bad habits. He needs to relearn things. A strong corner is imperative for him because strategic and tactical adjustments aren't always easy for him to make. 

But he has demonstrated a fundamental desire to add to his craft, to improve his ring performances, and to be an exceptional student. Mastering textbook fundamental boxing from Ronnie Shields, transitioning to a devastating power puncher under Derrick James, and learning how to put everything together in one performance – it’s his application of his skills that has made him an elite fighter. For Charlo, it's not a question of "skills pay the bills." It's how he applies them and when.

Let's hope that we see the Castano 2 version of Charlo more often. When he fights to the top of his ability level, he is a scary proposition in the ring. He possesses greatness, but he does need reminders about what makes him elite. It's not just his power or his warrior spirit or his perfectly timed counters or his ability to take a shot; it's everything. It's the full menu. Jermell Charlo has it all. We just want to see it with regularity. 

Adam Abramowitz is the founder and head writer of saturdaynightboxing.comHe's a member of Ring Magazine's Ring Ratings Panel and a Board Member for the Transnational Boxing Rankings Board. 
snboxing on twitter. SN Boxing on Facebook. 

Thursday, May 12, 2022

Punch 2 the Face Radio

In this week's Punch 2 the Face podcast, Brandon and I broke down Dmitry Bivol's impressive victory over Canelo. We also previewed this weekend's big fight, the rematch between Jermell Charlo and Brian Castano. To listen to the podcast, click on the links below: 

Apple podcast link:

Spotify link:

I heart radio link:

Stitcher link:

Adam Abramowitz is the founder and head writer of saturdaynightboxing.comHe's a member of Ring Magazine's Ring Ratings Panel and a Board Member for the Transnational Boxing Rankings Board. 
snboxing on twitter. SN Boxing on Facebook. 

Sunday, July 18, 2021

Opinions and Observations: Charlo-Castano

The air of illegitimacy has plagued professional boxing since its inception. Corrupt or incompetent officials, fighters frozen out of opportunities, bribery, money laundering, thrown fights, unscrupulous promoters and managers, biases toward popular fighters or champions, there's been a litany of reasons for well over a century as to why boxing has been referred to as sport's "red-light district."

So, after Saturday's 154-lb. undisputed title fight between Jermell Charlo and Brian Castano, where Nelson Vazquez turned in a ludicrous 117-111 scorecard in favor of Charlo (the fight was ruled a draw), boxing again faces a consistent and familiar thorn in its side. Too many boxing judges fail the smell test, and their unprofessionalism (let's use that euphemism) ruins the legitimacy of the contest. Instead of celebrating the combatants and their performances, Vazquez and his ilk offer reminders that the sport's unseemly side is alive and kicking. And we have watched this movie too many times. 

Rarely do these officials face consequences. Commissions and sanctioning bodies are reluctant to take out the garbage, partly because then they would have to take themselves out as well. The powers that be in the sport would prefer for these controversies to flame themselves out. Hey, the next big fight is only a week or two away. The regulators in the sport, and I use "regulator" loosely, count on the short memory of boxing fans and the industry as a whole. They don't want to interfere with their respective patronage systems within the sport unless they absolutely have to. And let's face it, robbing Floyd Mayweather is a problem; robbing Brian Castano is a regular Saturday night. 

Charlo (left) landing his counter left hook
Photo courtesy of Amanda Westcott/Showtime

Castano entered Saturday's fight as a titlist, but he owned only one of the four belts compared to Charlo's three. He's from Argentina, doesn't have a huge fanbase and even though he is represented by the PBC, it isn't like they have invested much sweat equity in him. They let him win his title on another promoter's show with few eyeballs watching and have never minded if he wanted to fight in Europe, even though the company doesn't have a footprint there. Charlo was fighting in his home state of Texas. The crowd was there for him. He had been one of the emerging faces of boxing over the last few years. Charlo was the money side of the fight. It certainly was better for "boxing" if Charlo won. As I said, we have all seen this movie before. 

At worst Castano won five rounds of the fight and it's more likely that he won eight of them than five. Except for the clear Charlo rounds, in my opinion 2, 10, 11, and 12, Castano was consistently out-throwing and out-landing Charlo. And he wasn't scoring with pitty-pat jabs. Almost all his shots were power punches. But it goes well beyond punch counting. Let's take ring generalship and effective aggression. Castano was the one coming forward, cornering Charlo along the ropes and fighting in his preferred style. He was the one dictating the terms of the fight throughout the majority of the action. He was clearly the better fighter in the majority of rounds using those two scoring criteria (in addition to clean, effective punching). 

Castano should have won via a competitive decision, but I wouldn't characterize his performance as dominant. He got hurt badly in the second and tenth rounds, both from counter left hooks. In the tenth round especially, he spent much of it in survival mode. To his credit, he showed a veteran's ability to buy time, but he wasn't trying to steal the round back. He needed all of his energy to stay on his feet. 

Overall, it was a disappointing performance from Charlo. His trainer, Derrick James, implored him throughout the bout to take the fight to the center of the ring, but Charlo would only intermittently listen to that advice. Instead, he hoped that the magic of the Tony Harrison rematch and the Jeison Rosario fight would return. In both of those matches, his power punching at close range led to knockdowns and eventual stoppages. After hurting Castano with a counter left hook against the ropes in second round, he kept looking for that shot, even as he gave up many rounds to Castano's pressure, volume and refined inside fighting skills. 

Charlo fought Saturday's match like a gunfighter who only had two bullets in his six-shooter. He seemed only comfortable throwing jabs and counter left hooks to the head. Where was his uppercut (left or right), where was the body punching, where were his lead right hands and where were the hooks downstairs? After Charlo had Castano hurt, he unfurled several right hands, but except for those moments, he was left-hand dominant. 

Castano deserves credit for Charlo's holstered weapons. By not falling into repeated attacking patterns, Charlo couldn't consistently land the types of hard counters he wanted. And Castano kept Charlo thinking all night. He'd come in behind wide left hooks, tighter hooks, looping right hands, throwaway jabs, straight rights, and from all sorts of punching angles. Despite working in close quarters, he didn't smother his work or lean over his front foot too much, which would have given Charlo easier countering opportunities. He knew how to operate in tight spaces and he was clearly superior when the fight was in that geography. 

Castano getting some work done inside
Photo courtesy of Amanda Westcott/Showtime

Let's remember that Jermell Charlo started his career as one of the best jabbers in the sport. Many of his early victories under then-trainer Ronnie Shields were won with his jab and legs. He was more comfortable leading than countering and he dominated the center of the ring. 

Under Derrick James, Charlo has morphed into a counterpunching knockout artist. He's gifted at it, but some of his old skills under Shields would have come in handy against Castano. Charlo didn't have to go to the ropes as much as he did, but he was convinced that his power would rule the day. Even after being told to go back to the center, he would make only half-hearted attempts to do so. It's almost as if he had lost confidence in his ability to box his way to a victory. 

I enjoyed Saturday's fight. Both fighters showed why they have been successful professionals. But there are two issues that disturb me upon reflection. Most obviously, Vazquez's scorecard prohibited Castano from getting a fair hearing in the fight. And that's an awful feeling in watching a sport that's supposedly on the up-and-up. In addition, I don't think that was Jermell Charlo at his best. Yes, Castano deserves his share of credit for this, but Charlo helped beat himself to a degree. His trainer was giving him the right advice. He had the tools to make it an easier fight than it was, but he just wanted to do it his way. 

I hope that Saturday's fight will spur Charlo to do some reflection. Fighters pay their cornermen to guide them through rough moments. James' advice was sound and within Charlo's capabilities. But Charlo decided to freelance. Yes, he came back into the fight, but it didn't have to get to that point. 

Jermell needs to remember that he can't knock out everyone in the sport and that he has far more weapons than he showed on Saturday. If he can look at himself in the mirror honestly, he will know that he has much more to offer. He was once a boxer, a damn good one too, and while knockouts are sexy and fun, they are only part of what is required at the highest level of the sport. His coach knew that, but it's not a lesson that Charlo was ready to accept, at least not yet. 

Adam Abramowitz is the founder and head writer of saturdaynightboxing.comHe's a member of Ring Magazine's Ring Ratings Panel and a Board Member for the Transnational Boxing Rankings Board. 
snboxing on twitter. SN Boxing on Facebook.     

Monday, November 9, 2020

Pound-for-Pound Update 11-9-20

It's been over seven months since the last full update of the Saturday Night Boxing Pound-for-Pound List, and with many top fighters in action in October, it's time to see how things stand. The most consequential shake-up in the Rankings can be attributed to Teofimo Lopez's unanimous decision victory over Vasiliy Lomachenko. With the impressive win, Lopez enters the Rankings at #5 while Lomachenko drops to #14.  

Jermell Charlo also makes his debut in the Rankings. With his knockout victory over Jeison Rosario, he now has three belts at 154 lbs., and a very impressive resume at the weight. He enters the Rankings at #9. 

Stopping Carlos Cuadras in a highly entertaining rematch of their 2017 fight, Juan Estrada moves up one place in the Rankings from #7 to #6. Estrada's 115-lb. rival, Roman Gonzalez, won a unanimous decision on the same card, defeating Israel Gonzalez. With the victory, Gonzalez, the former pound-for-pound king, moves up a spot to #18.  

Leo Santa Cruz and Josh Warrington dropped out of the Rankings. Santa Cruz lost by knockout to Gervonta Davis last month. He had been ranked #16. Warrington had been ranked at #20.  

Below is the complete Saturday Night Boxing Pound-for-Pound List:

  1. Naoya Inoue
  2. Saul Alvarez
  3. Terence Crawford
  4. Oleksandr Usyk
  5. Teofimo Lopez
  6. Juan Estrada
  7. Gennadiy Golovkin
  8. Errol Spence
  9. Jermell Charlo
  10. Artur Beterbiev
  11. Srisaket Sor Rungvisai
  12. Manny Pacquiao
  13. Tyson Fury
  14. Vasiliy Lomachenko
  15. Mikey Garcia
  16. Kosei Tanaka
  17. Josh Taylor
  18. Roman Gonzalez
  19. Miguel Berchelt
  20. Kenshiro Teraji
Adam Abramowitz is the founder and head writer of saturdaynightboxing.comHe's a member of Ring Magazine's Ring Ratings Panel and a Board Member for the Transnational Boxing Rankings Board. 
snboxing on twitter. SN Boxing on Facebook. 

Sunday, September 27, 2020

Opinions and Observations: The Charlos Arrive

In a thrilling shootout, Jermell Charlo stopped Jeison Rosario in the eighth round on Saturday to win a third belt at 154 lbs. Despite being dropped three times in the fight, Rosario cut an imposing figure whenever he was marching forward. Featuring heavy hands and a relentless body attack, he forced Charlo into tying up a number of times throughout the bout. 

In my opinion, the fight turned in the sixth round when Charlo connected with a left hook/right hand combination for his second knockdown of the match. That sequence badly hurt Rosario, who spent the seventh round going through the motions with ineffectual pressure. At the beginning of the eighth, Charlo landed a simple jab to the head and jab to the body, with the last punch being partially blocked. However, that punch to the gut sent Rosario to the canvas, where he briefly convulsed and never got close to beating referee Harvey Dock's count.


Photo Courtesy of Amanda Westcott


Perhaps Charlo's last punch hit the perfect spot, but more likely it was that Rosario was a spent bullet; the grueling nature of the fight, not to mention his significant weight cut, had depleted all of his energy reserves. The ending looked similar to last year's Kovalev-Yarde fight, where Kovalev stopped the proceedings with a jab. After both of these knockouts, the losing fighter stayed on the canvas for several minutes. Although Charlo and Kovalev do have excellent jabs, it was not the punch itself that led to such devastating consequences, but what came before it, both the fights themselves and the losing boxers' fight preparation. 

Jermell's win was not a certainly or a formality. He had to earn it. Employing a risky strategy against a big puncher who knew how to impose his size on a smaller fighter, Jermell had little margin for error. He counted on two factors for the victory: his belief in his power punching and the sturdiness of his chin. 

As mentioned earlier, Charlo had to tie up on a number of occasions. Some of that could be attributed to simply resetting the action, but there were a few occasions, specifically after body barrages, where Charlo looked like he had truly felt Rosario's power, and that had made him uncomfortable. But unlike many fighters who fall apart against punchers, Charlo acted like a seasoned veteran. He stopped the action and bought time. He didn't hold or clinch excessively, but he did it strategically, and he wasn't too proud or too macho to use those tactics. They helped win him the fight. 

From the opening seconds of the fight, Charlo made it clear what his game plan would be. He was winging hooks with full force and trying to knock out Rosario with almost every shot. He wasn't going for a points victory or doing the things necessary to put rounds in the bank. He and trainer Derrick James believed that the knockout would be their best way to win the fight. In a battle of chins, they thought that Jermell's would prevail.  

Charlo lost a number of rounds in the fight, as his employed strategy would normally dictate. Most rounds he threw less than 40 punches, a meager total in the 154-lb. division. But perhaps even more telling was the geography of the fight. Charlo invited pressure from Rosario. He backed up slowly toward the ropes, looking for opportunities to land counter left hooks and right hands. He absorbed a ton of big shots while waiting for openings. That style only works if the fighter's knockout power is real and he has the chin, conditioning and ring smarts to withstand heavy fire.  

Despite stopping seven of his last nine opponents, Jermell’s knockout percentage is only right above 50%. (And keep in mind that his recent stoppages have been against world-class opposition. Usually when a fighter faces better opponents, his knockout rate drops.) Yet, our eyes do not deceive us. His power is legitimate, threatening and devastating. His recent string of stoppages has coincided with his switch to Derrick James as his trainer. Jermell's style with James differs markedly from how he was developed as a pro under Ronnie Shields. With Shields, Jermell was known for his legs and jab. He was a classic boxer-puncher who won fights more with his athletic and technical skills than his power. But with James, Charlo has focused on holding his ground, sitting down on his shots and inflicting damage.  

Derrick James also trains Errol Spence, one of the most dynamic power punchers in the sport. For whatever reason, there are few trainers who make punching their forte. Some trainers favor aggression, defensive responsibility, tactical brilliance or overall well-roundedness. But James is one of the few notable American trainers who believes in punching more than any other factor in a fight. It's not that he ignores issues of defense or strategy, but he believes at the end of the day that the guy with the more devastating offensive arsenal is the one who wins fights. It leads to high-risk game plans like Spence against Kell Brook and Shawn Porter, and Charlo against Tony Harrison in the rematch and Rosario. 

And James's philosophy is more than just "hit hard." His fighters stay calm under duress. They expect incoming fire. They don't run out of the pocket in a frenzy of panic. James's fighters understand that the moments when opponents engage in battle is where damage can be inflicted. That's when a fight can be decided. He's not a proponent of the "hit and not be hit" style of boxing. He believes in "hit harder and hit better." It takes a special kind of boxer and individual to thrive in James's preferred style. Most don't have the whiskers or the desire to try it. But it creates thrilling, entertaining fights and to this point James's success speaks for itself; he now has two of the top fighters in the sport. 

Jermell Charlo has quietly put together one of the better resumes in the sport. With wins over Rosario, Harrison, Trout, Lubin and Martirosyan, he has tested himself against many of the best in a deep division. The one mark against him on his record, a debatable loss to Harrison, was avenged with a memorable knockout last year. Yes, there will be opponents he won't be able to knock out and he will struggle to win enough rounds in those fights; however, he has ridden his new style to the top echelon of the sport. He's must-see television and has genuine star power. 

And unlike many in boxing, he's had to make his own luck. He believed he needed to make a trainer switch, and that he would be more successful as a puncher. He adapted his style mid-career. These are hard changes to make, and he deserves full credit for envisioning his career in a way that few others did. 

***

While watching Jermall Charlo's impressive victory over middleweight contender Sergiy Derevyanchenko on Saturday, I thought to myself a couple of times, I'm watching one of the most complete fighters in boxing. Jermall flashed almost every conceivable offensive weapon: a sturdy left jab, lead left hooks, hard right hands, uppercuts to the head and body, hooking off the jab, left jab/left uppercut combinations. He offered all the goods. 

And it was more than just his punching. Why Jermall performed better against Derevyanchenko than Gennadiy Golovkin and Daniel Jacobs did is that he is also a better athlete. At numerous points in the fight, Derevyanchenko attacked Charlo behind an overhand right, and Charlo was able to take a brief step back and counter with blistering uppercuts to the body, the perfect shot to thwart that particular foray. It was his ability to move just enough where he could hurt Derevyanchenko without getting hit in return that may have won him the fight. Golovkin and Jacobs couldn't feature the same type of clever movement in close quarters.  

Photo Courtesy of Amanda Westcott


Now it wasn't as if Derevyanchenko was shut out in the fight, far from it. He knew exactly what he needed to do to win and from about the fourth round on he executed his game plan ably. Charlo was just a little sharper and a little more versatile with his attack. Charlo ultimately won the fight with scorecards that didn't necessarily reflect the competitiveness of the bout (116-112, 117-111 and 118-110), but he deserved the victory. He had to be exceptional to defeat that version of Derevyanchenko, and mostly, he was. 

Despite his third defeat, Derevyanchenko remains a tough opponent. His limitations from the outside are of course an issue, but he has wonderful inside fighting skills and more importantly he knows that once he's at close range, he won't stop firing. That's where he makes his money, and he fully understands his strengths and weaknesses. The only knock on his performance from Saturday is that he overcompensated from his poor starts in recent fights. He had been knocked down in the first round against both Jacobs and Golovkin. On Saturday he seemed wary about engaging too early in the fight and was a little too cautious as a result. He was already down three or four points by the time he committed to his attack. Once he did, he was essentially even with Charlo; however, a fight is 12 rounds, and Derevyanchenko still hasn't found a way to win enough of them to beat a top opponent. 

For Charlo, there are still minor quibbles one can make.  To my eyes, the only thing strategically he could have done better was to tie up every so often, like his brother did against Rosario. As a puncher, he was looking for opportunities to land hard counters. But there were certain exchanges where he took a few more shots than needed. Tying up would have reduced the potency of Derevyanchenko's attack to a degree. 

Charlo also overshot his left hook in close quarters. The punch was much better when Derevyanchenko was at range. Now, some credit needs to be given to Sergiy's ability to fight low and avoid the hook, but Charlo was never able to use the punch as a weapon on the inside. But ultimately, it's tough to be perfect against such quality opposition and Charlo, in my opinion, put together the best performance of his career. 

***

The Charlo brothers headlined their first pay per view event on Saturday and they shined. Both had been displeased with their treatment earlier in their respective careers, believing that they had star power, but for some reason were being neglected in favor of other fighters. At this point, it's clear that they were correct with their self-belief.  However, one must note that they came up in a division teeming with young talent and that their management and representation had numerous accomplished fighters at around the same age group. 

Essentially, they have earned their status in the sport. Perhaps they were right in believing that other fighters were being handed opportunities at a younger age than were deserved, but the Charlos have now backed up their frustration with excellent ring performances. 

Less than two years ago, the Charlos headlined their first major show. It was supposed to be their coming out party, but both disappointed on the night. Jermell was defeated by Tony Harrison and Jermall certainly could have lost in a challenging, technical fight against Matvey Korobov. Twenty-one months later, the Charlos were now finally ready for their big moment. They thrived in wonderfully entertaining fights. 

That experience from 2018 has led to both fighters further dedicating themselves to the sport. Jermell didn't believe that his loss to Harrison was legitimate. He now fully understood that scorecards won't always be friendly, and it's much more advantageous to settle things in the ring without relying on the judges. As for Jermell, he knew how challenging that Korobov fight was. He wasn't technically sharp that night and it was one of the few times in his career (with the Trout fight being the other) where he seemed the lesser fighter during significant portions of the action. He had to get sharper. 

Jermell and Jermall were both very good prospects coming up. I would rate them around the A-minus level. They were talented, but they weren't necessarily sure things to become elite fighters. Every generation has a lot of A-minus prospects, but most of them don't make it as far as the Charlos have. The brothers are great examples of how motivation, desire and self-belief can help get to the next level. Their lack of self-satisfaction is evident: they want more for themselves, and they know that the level they are at is still far beneath what they can achieve in the sport. 

These intangible factors often are what separate the great from the very good. Both are highly skilled talents, but there's a lot of talent in the sport, and talent is not enough at the top level of boxing. It's Jermell's willingness to soak up punishment to land shots. It's Jermall's ring awareness to neutralize a hard charging opponent. It's their desire to understand the sport and an opponent on a fundamental level. It's having 100% belief in a trainer and the game plan. Lots of guys have hand speed and flashy skills. But to get to where the Charlos are, it takes much more than that. Perhaps the Charlos’ greatest quality is their lack of self-satisfaction. It fuels them. And I wish more fighters possessed that trait; then we'd see a better sport.

Adam Abramowitz is the founder and head writer of saturdaynightboxing.comHe's a member of Ring Magazine's Ring Ratings Panel and a Board Member for the Transnational Boxing Rankings Board. 
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